Important dates (purple dashed lines):
(green dashed lines):
Note: due to lag time between exposure and final positive test, effects of changes are typically observed about two weeks after event.
Comment: Why a 7-day moving average? Wisconsin tends to have cyclical patterns in testing results, with low spots typically on Mondays (this may be due to lower testing on weekends)
Not yet coded
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 09 2020 | 314 | 9065 | 1 |
| July 10 2020 | 323 | 9391 | 1 |
| July 11 2020 | 332 | 9960 | 1 |
| July 12 2020 | 338 | 10143 | 1 |
| July 13 2020 | 340 | 10382 | 1 |
| July 14 2020 | 346 | 10779 | 1 |
| July 15 2020 | 351 | 10989 | 1 |
| DATE | POSITIVE | NEGATIVE | DEATHS | Hospitalization Yes | Hospitalization Unknown | Icu Yes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 09 2020 | 33908 | 623554 | 809 | 3726 | 10426 | 787 |
| July 10 2020 | 34753 | 635411 | 814 | 3766 | 10772 | 792 |
| July 11 2020 | 35679 | 646504 | 821 | 3797 | 11221 | 797 |
| July 12 2020 | 36448 | 653352 | 820 | 3824 | 11687 | 800 |
| July 13 2020 | 36942 | 659479 | 820 | 3850 | 11972 | 800 |
| July 14 2020 | 37906 | 673195 | 826 | 3892 | 12354 | 804 |
| July 15 2020 | 38727 | 686299 | 827 | 3923 | 12672 | 810 |
Other information:
https://topic.newsbreak.com/covid-19.html?zip=19934&s=dmg_local_briefing.web2
Re-opening Trends: that is, why didn't the first wave end?
I devised plots that are similar to those found, for example, at the following locations:
Masks Should I wear a mask in enclosed public spaces? Unequivocally, YES. References for reasoning, using a current (as of July 8) accumulation of over 70 references. A few of my favorites (modeling-wise) are:
A couple more in the works:
Media articles / letters summarizing scientific publications:
[1] "The number of cumulative deaths, at a lag of 19 days, are approximately 8 times number of cumulative cases to the 0.46 power."
[1] "We thus predict that on 2020-08-05 the cumulative number of deaths in WI will be 1027"